SLP has 11 safe seats; UWP has 3

The table below summarizes the results of the most recent survey leading to the upcoming elections. The results are generally similar to the Voice and other polls done previously.

CONSTITUENCY	UWP (%)	SLP (%)	UNDECIDED (%)	WON’T SAY (%)	OTHER	RESULTS
Babonneau	36	35	16	13		TOSS-UP
Gros Islet	37	35	15	13		TOSS-UP
Castries North	45	32	12	11		UWP
Castries Central	35	35	17	13		TOSS-UP
Castries East	34	43	10	13		SLP
Castries South	33	41	14	12		SLP
Castries South East	33	39	17	11		SLP
Anse La Raye/Canaries	31	37	18	14		SLP
Soufriere	33	44	11	12		SLP
Choiseul	33	40	10	17		SLP
Laborie	26	51	10	13		SLP
Vieux Fort South	35	44	14	9		SLP
Vieux Fort North	31	47	12	10		SLP
Micoud South	43	30	15	12		UWP
Micoud North	33	29	13	12	Compton-Antoine = 13%	UWP
Dennery South	32	40	16	12		SLP
Dennery North	29	38	19	14		SLP

The results predict that if elections were held now, the SLP would win a clear 11 seats.  They are:

1.   Castries East

2.   Castries South

3.    Castries South East

4.    Anse La Raye/Canaries

5.   Soufriere

6.   Choiseul

7.   Laborie

8.   Vieux Fort North

9.   Vieux Fort South

10.    Dennery North

11.    Dennery South

UWP would win 3 seats:

Castries North

Micoud North

Micoud South

Babonneau, Castries Central and Gros Islet which were all considered safe UWP seats one year ago are now “tossed up” seats which fall within +/-3% margin of error. The sample size was 1066.