A
small team from the Choiseul Powerhouse decided to conduct a simple windscreen
survey to primarily determine the impact of Chastanet’s “5-TO-STAY-ALIVE” plan on the
Choiseul/Saltibus constituency.
Here
is a brief summary of the results.
(a)
age 60+ -
enthusiastic;
(b)
age 45 -
60 moderate to less enthusiastic;
(c)
age 30 - 44 - moderate to less enthusiastic;
(d)
under 30 - less enthusiastic
It
appeared the most enthusiastic section of the sample was leaning UWP, with the
moderately enthusiastic seemingly ambivalent. Most of the less enthusiastic
sample seemed to be leaning SLP or independent.
Two
major findings may be extrapolated from the results:
(1)
There is a suggestion that
there is a correlation between age and enthusiasm;
(2)
A large section of the
sample seemed not to keen in politics so far.
There
is a suggestion that the excitement of the respective bases of the two parties
is still sporadic but slowly “catching up”. However, it would appear that none
of the running candidates seems to have excited their base or the swing voters
sufficiently to own bragging rights.
The
trend shown above is not new. From 2001, the support for the political parties
has been delicately poised (SLP = 49%; UWP = 48%; and swing = 3%). Hence, the
small swing vote becomes the major determinant of the electoral outcome.
Theoretically,
one of major reasons for that “support configuration” was perhaps Rufus
Bousquet who, because of a significant personal support base, changed Choiseul
from an SLP safe seat to a swing constituency.
There
is little reason to believe that the trend may change in the upcoming election.
However,
keep in mind that the results of survey are not scientific and hence may not be
sufficiently reliable to generalised them to the entire constituency.
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